Forward-thinking policy analysis for Africa's decision-makers
We conduct independent research on Africa’s development prospects using a dynamic, and continually updated forecasting platform to understand the potential progress of the African continent. We provide decision-makers, civil society, and experts with forward-thinking policy analysis to plan key development pathways.
Featured Geography
Mozambique
Mozambique is rich in mineral reserves, arable land and a coastline but remains one of the poorest globally, with high levels of poverty and inequality. Mozambique will likely continue to have a larger number of people living in extreme poverty in 2043, implying that the Current Path is not a good option. An integrated development push across key sectors is essential. Progress will depend on the quality of governance and institutions, as weak governance leads to public financial mismanagement, macroeconomic instability and poor policy implementation.
Featured Geography
ECOWAS
ECOWAS faces significant challenges, including threats of withdrawal by member countries, security issues, governance problems, economic stagnation, and the impacts of climate change. The analysis suggests that current progress is insufficient to overcome structural challenges without aggressive interventions. To improve its development trajectory, ECOWAS must undertake targeted socio-economic policy interventions across all sectors.
Featured Theme
Agriculture
Although there are promising developments in several African countries, the continent has yet to have a modern revolution in agricultural production. The impact of the Agriculture scenario is impressive, with Africa’s agriculture production volumes more than doubling in the next two decades. Raising agricultural productivity serves as a foundation for broader sustained economic development.
Featured Theme
Africa in the World
Africa’s foreign policy and development efforts should unequivocally support the policies and approaches that would advance the Sustainable ‘best of world’ objective through greater convergence and more robust, more effective continental institutions, which support and sustain Africa’s aspirations and values as enshrined in Agenda 2063. The priority for African leadership is to focus laser-like on every obstacle to maximise its sustainable development prospects.
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Africa in the World | 23 September 2024
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Governance | 16 September 2024
To the GNU and beyond - South Africa’s long-term development prospects
Climate | 09 September 2024
Africa should brace itself for geoengineering
Africa in the World | 02 September 2024
Can FOCAC adapt to meet Africa’s long-term needs?
Climate | 18 August 2024
Accelerate, Extend, or Abandon? Africa’s SDG Dilemma
Governance | 18 August 2024
Guns will not save Africa but our voices can
Current Path | 13 August 2024
Why is Africa more violent in 2024?
How to use this site
- Watch the introduction video above
- Use our AI chatbot for a personalised search
- Select individual country analyses on the interactive map below
- Select continental forecasts for the Current Path, all Themes, and the Combined Agenda below
- Access more resources via the main navigation menu
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Forecasting the future of Africa
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All geographies in Africa
Countries
The Current Path forecast for each of 54 countries and an ambitious positive scenario on Demographics and Health, Agriculture, Education, Manufacturing, AfCFTA, Large Infrastructure and Leapfrogging, Financial Flows, and Governance, and a combined scenario.
Select from the drop-down menu or click on a country.
- Algeria
- Angola
- Benin
- Botswana
- Burkina Faso
- Burundi
- Cameroon
- Cape Verde
- Central African Republic
- Chad
- Comoros
- Côte d'Ivoire
- DR Congo
- Djibouti
- Egypt
- Equatorial Guinea
- Eritrea
- Eswatini
- Ethiopia
- Gabon
- Gambia
- Ghana
- Guinea
- Guinea-Bissau
- Kenya
- Lesotho
- Liberia
- Libya
- Madagascar
- Malawi
- Mali
- Mauritania
- Mauritius
- Morocco
- Mozambique
- Namibia
- Niger
- Nigeria
- Republic of the Congo
- Rwanda
- São Tomé and Príncipe
- Senegal
- Seychelles
- Sierra Leone
- Somalia
- South Africa
- South Sudan
- Sudan
- Tanzania
- Togo
- Tunisia
- Uganda
- Zambia
- Zimbabwe
Regions
The Current Path forecast for Africa, Sub-Saharan Africa, and North Africa, and an ambitious positive scenario on Demographics and Health, Agriculture, Education, Manufacturing, AfCFTA, Large Infrastructure and Leapfrogging, Financial Flows, and Governance, and a combined scenario.
Select from the drop-down menu or click on a region.
- North Africa
- Sub-Saharan Africa
- Africa
Regional Economic Communities
The Current Path forecast for key Regional Economic Communities, and an ambitious positive scenario on Demographics and Health, Agriculture, Education, Manufacturing, AfCFTA, Large Infrastructure and Leapfrogging, Financial Flows, and Governance, and a combined scenario.
Select from the drop-down menu or click on a REC.
- AMU
- CEN-SAD
- COMESA
- EAC
- ECOWAS
- ECCAS
- IGAD
- SADC
- ECOWAS
Income groups
The Current Path forecasts for the World Bank country income groups, and an ambitious positive scenario on Demographics and Health, Agriculture, Education, Manufacturing, AfCFTA, Large Infrastructure and Leapfrogging, Financial Flows, and Governance, and a combined scenario.
Select from the drop-down menu or click on a country income group.
- Low-income Africa
- Lower middle-income Africa
- Upper middle-income Africa
- High-income Africa
Africa's Current Path, 16 thematic futures and a Combined Agenda 2063 scenario
Click on an icon to access the thematic futures insight.