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REGIONAL ECONOMIC COMMUNITIES

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Africa in the World

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Forecasting on Africa that is |

Translating Africa's potential into prosperity

This website provides integrated forecasts of Africa’s development prospects and potential. Prospects cover 14 sectors for each African country, region, regional economic community and country income groups within the timeline of the African Union’s Agenda 2063. Insights are grounded in academic literature, using benchmarks to deliver ambitious but realistic forecasts that are regularly updated.

Strategic partner

AUDA-NEPAD

YOUR GUIDE TO THE SITE

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Charts

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Geographic
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Continental
themes

All geographies in Africa

Countries

The Current Path forecast for each of 54 countries and an ambitious positive scenario on stability, demographics, agriculture, health/WaSH, education, manufacturing/transfers, free trade, leapfrogging, financial flows, major infrastructure, governance and a Combined Agenda 2063 scenario.

Select from the drop-down menu or click on a country.

  • Algeria
  • Angola
  • Benin
  • Botswana
  • Burkina Faso
  • Burundi
  • Cameroon
  • Cape Verde
  • Central African Republic
  • Chad
  • Comoros
  • Côte d'Ivoire
  • DR Congo
  • Djibouti
  • Egypt
  • Equatorial Guinea
  • Eritrea
  • Eswatini
  • Ethiopia
  • Gabon
  • Gambia
  • Ghana
  • Guinea
  • Guinea-Bissau
  • Kenya
  • Lesotho
  • Liberia
  • Libya
  • Madagascar
  • Malawi
  • Mali
  • Mauritania
  • Mauritius
  • Morocco
  • Mozambique
  • Namibia
  • Niger
  • Nigeria
  • Republic of the Congo
  • Rwanda
  • São Tomé and Príncipe
  • Senegal
  • Seychelles
  • Sierra Leone
  • Somalia
  • South Africa
  • South Sudan
  • Sudan
  • Tanzania
  • Togo
  • Tunisia
  • Uganda
  • Zambia
  • Zimbabwe

Regions

The Current Path forecast for Africa, Sub-Saharan Africa, Southern, West, Central, East and North Africa, and an ambitious positive scenario on stability, demographics, agriculture, health/WaSH, education, manufacturing/transfers, free trade, leapfrogging, financial flows, major infrastructure, governance and a Combined Agenda 2063 scenario.

Select from the drop-down menu or click on a region.

  • Central Africa
  • East Africa
  • West Africa/ECOWAS
  • North Africa
  • Southern Africa
  • Sub-Saharan Africa
  • Africa

Regional Economic Communities

The Current Path forecast for key Regional Economic Communities, and an ambitious positive scenario on stability, demographics, agriculture, health/WaSH, education, manufacturing/transfers, free trade, leapfrogging, financial flows, major infrastructure, governance and a Combined Agenda 2063 scenario.

Select from the drop-down menu or click on a REC.

  • AMU
  • CEN-SAD
  • COMESA
  • EAC
  • ECCAS
  • IGAD
  • SADC
  • West Africa/ECOWAS

Income groups

The Current Path forecasts for the World Bank country income groups, and an ambitious positive scenario on stability, demographics, agriculture, health/WaSH, education, manufacturing/transfers, free trade, leapfrogging, financial flows, major infrastructure, governance and a Combined Agenda 2063 scenario.

Select from the drop-down menu or click on a country income group.

  • Low-income Africa
  • Lower middle-income Africa
  • Upper middle-income Africa
  • High-income Africa

Africa's Current Path, 14 thematic futures and a Combined Agenda 2063 scenario

Click on each icon to access thematic futures insight.

Current path

The current likely development trajectory assuming no major shocks.

Current path

Governance

Impact of deepening of democracy on development outcomes.

Governance

Demographics

Reducing in total fertility rate through improvements in contraception use, and maternal and child healthcare.

Demographics

Agriculture

Improvements in crop yields and irrigated land where reasonable, calorie demand multiplier and reduced food waste/loss.

Agriculture

Health/WaSH

Investment in prevention and treatment of communicable diseases through more basic infrastructure and non-communicable diseases such as diabetes. Specifically, large reductions in incidence of HIV/AIDS and malaria.

Health/WaSH

Education

Improved throughput rates in primary, secondary and tertiary education; eventual gender parity; better quality of education; more vocational at secondary, and science and engineering students.

Education

Manufacturing/Transfers

A more effective and progressive tax system that allows increased investment in manufacturing, research and development, export promotion and better business regulation. Increase in government-to-household welfare transfers to temper negative effects.

Manufacturing/
Transfers

Free Trade

Full implementation of the African Continental Free Trade Area by 2034.

Free Trade

Leapfrogging

Rapid roll-out of ICT and renewable energy technology that improves electricity access and government effectiveness, and leads to more rapid formalization of informal sector.

Leapfrogging

FinancialFlows

An increase in remittance inflows, aid receipts and foreign investment inflows, as well as reduction in illicit financial outflows.

Financial
Flows

LargeInfrastructure

Push on basic WaSH infrastructure, electricity and ICT access, and progressively focusing on major infrastructure in higher income countries.

Large
Infrastructure

Impact on changes on levels of extreme poverty, economic size, GDP per capita, life expectancy, infant mortality, etc.

CombinedAgenda 2063

The combined impact of all the scenarios presented on this site plus the impact of a proposed carbon tax.

Combined
Agenda 2063

Climate Change/Energy

Africa’s emerging energy transition and carbon emissions on the Current Path and each of the scenarios.

Climate Change/
Energy

Africa inthe World

Africa’s development potential in a Sustainable World, Divided World, World at War and Growth World.

Africa in
the World

Work/Jobs

Prospects for work/jobs on the Current Path and in different scenarios.

Work/Jobs

Africa Tomorrow

To venture or not to venture: funding Africa’s early-stage innovation

31 May 2023

To venture or not to venture: funding Africa’s early-stage innovation
SA foreign policy must balance constitutional values and national interest

25 May 2023

SA foreign policy must balance constitutional values and national interest
What are the low-hanging fruits for President Tinubu to accelerate Nigeria’s economic economy?

24 May 2023

What are the low-hanging fruits for President Tinubu to accelerate Nigeria’s economic economy?
Intersectional gender equity must inform efforts to enhance climate security in Africa

16 May 2023

Intersectional gender equity must inform efforts to enhance climate security in Africa
Could FDI be Rwanda’s lifeline as donors pull the plug?

09 May 2023

Could FDI be Rwanda’s lifeline as donors pull the plug?
What Africa wants – and what the West needs to do

03 May 2023

What Africa wants – and what the West needs to do
Climate change could tip the Niger Delta back into a post-amnesty insurgency

25 April 2023

Climate change could tip the Niger Delta back into a post-amnesty insurgency
How the war in Ukraine ends, and the implications for Africa

18 April 2023

How the war in Ukraine ends, and the implications for Africa