Featured Geography

Democratic Republic of Congo

The country is well known for its abundant and diverse mineral resources, vast hydroelectric potential, and arable land. It possesses 50% of the global cobalt reserves, 25% of the world's diamond reserves and large reserves of Coltan.

Featured Geography

Cameroon

Cameroon is expected to experience significant growth in GDP, reaching US$141.1 billion in 2043, compared to the US$46.3 billion in 2019, and an increase in GDP per capita from US$3 710 to US$5 622 in 2043.

Featured Theme

Demographics

Africans need to openly discuss family planning, roll out access to modern contraceptives and empower women in order to advance the attainment of a first demographic dividend and increase the contribution that labour makes to economic growth.

Featured Theme

Health/WaSH

A healthier population is more productive and, once combined with better education and other enablers, improves economic growth prospects significantly.

Featured Blog Post

Morocco: potential vs politics

A recent update on Morocco’s development potential provides a positive outlook for the country’s development prospects.

Climate Change, Energy | 06 December 2023

A sustainable analysis of Algeria

Climate Change, Energy | 29 November 2023

The Loss and Damage Fund must deliver at COP28

Climate Change, Energy | 15 November 2023

Realising parallel investments in Africa’s green industrialisation

Climate Change, Energy | 08 November 2023

Climate security in Africa: the imperative for COP28

Financial Flows | 01 November 2023

Supporting growth while ensuring debt sustainability in Africa

Governance | 18 October 2023

Pathway to achieving inclusive growth and shared prosperity in Mali

Governance | 11 October 2023

Africa’s challenges in context

Governance | 04 October 2023

Rising digital surveillance threatens Africa’s democratic progress

How to use this site

This website provides integrated forecasts of Africa’s development prospects and potential. It uses eight sectoral and a combined scenarios to explore the future for each African country to 2043, the end of the third ten-year implementation plan of the African Union's Agenda 2063. Future prospects are discussed in greater detail in 16 themes ranging from agriculture to governance.

AUDA-NEPAD

We partner and support AUDA-NEPAD through foresight planning and scenario-building across Africa to deliver monitoring, evaluation, and evidence-based policy development that strengthens and aligns development forecasting and analytic capabilities with member states and regional institutions to pursue the Agenda 2063 goals and targets.

All geographies in Africa

Countries

The Current Path forecast for each of 54 countries and an ambitious positive scenario on Demographics and Health, Agriculture, Education, Manufacturing, AfCFTA, Large Infrastructure and Leapfrogging, Financial Flows, and Governance, and a combined scenario.

Select from the drop-down menu or click on a country.

Algeria
Angola
Benin
Botswana
Burkina Faso
Burundi
Cameroon
Cape Verde
Central African Republic
Chad
Comoros
Côte d'Ivoire
DR Congo
Djibouti
Egypt
Equatorial Guinea
Eritrea
Eswatini
Ethiopia
Gabon
Gambia
Ghana
Guinea
Guinea-Bissau
Kenya
Lesotho
Liberia
Libya
Madagascar
Malawi
Mali
Mauritania
Mauritius
Morocco
Mozambique
Namibia
Niger
Nigeria
Republic of the Congo
Rwanda
São Tomé and Príncipe
Senegal
Seychelles
Sierra Leone
Somalia
South Africa
South Sudan
Sudan
Tanzania
Togo
Tunisia
Uganda
Zambia
Zimbabwe

Regions

The Current Path forecast for Africa, Sub-Saharan Africa, and North Africa, and an ambitious positive scenario on Demographics and Health, Agriculture, Education, Manufacturing, AfCFTA, Large Infrastructure and Leapfrogging, Financial Flows, and Governance, and a combined scenario.

Select from the drop-down menu or click on a region.

North Africa

Sub-Saharan Africa

Africa

Regional Economic Communities

The Current Path forecast for key Regional Economic Communities, and an ambitious positive scenario on Demographics and Health, Agriculture, Education, Manufacturing, AfCFTA, Large Infrastructure and Leapfrogging, Financial Flows, and Governance, and a combined scenario.

Select from the drop-down menu or click on a REC.

CEN-SAD

COMESA

ECOWAS

ECCAS

IGAD

SADC

ECOWAS

Income groups

The Current Path forecasts for the World Bank country income groups, and an ambitious positive scenario on Demographics and Health, Agriculture, Education, Manufacturing, AfCFTA, Large Infrastructure and Leapfrogging, Financial Flows, and Governance, and a combined scenario.

Select from the drop-down menu or click on a country income group.

Low-income Africa
Lower middle-income Africa
Upper middle-income Africa
High-income Africa

Africa's Current Path, 16 thematic futures and a Combined Agenda 2063 scenario

Click on an icon to access the thematic futures insight.

Impact of more security, capacity and inclusion on development outcomes.

Governance

Reducing in total fertility rate through improvements in contraception use, and maternal and child healthcare.

Demographics

Improvements in crop yields and irrigated land where reasonable, calorie demand multiplier and reduced food waste/loss.

Agriculture

Investment in prevention and treatment of communicable diseases through more basic infrastructure and non-communicable diseases such as diabetes. Specifically, large reductions in incidence of HIV/AIDS and malaria.

Health/WaSH

Improved throughput rates in primary, secondary and tertiary education; eventual gender parity; better quality of education; more vocational at secondary, and science and engineering students.

Education

A more effective and progressive tax system that allows increased investment in manufacturing, research and development, export promotion and better business regulation. Increase in government-to-household welfare transfers to temper negative effects.

Manufacturing

Full implementation of the African Continental Free Trade Area by 2034.

AfCFTA

Rapid roll-out of ICT and renewable energy technology that improves electricity access and government effectiveness, and leads to more rapid formalization of informal sector.