How will global upheavals affect Africa?

How will global upheavals affect Africa?


In the first of a series, this seminar considers Africa’s prospects in relation to four long-term global scenarios.


Global upheaval is pervasive as power and influence shift Eastward, the impact of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine takes hold, and pandemics such as COVID-19 and global health emergencies like monkeypox take their toll.

In the first of a series, this seminar will explore how global trends could impact Africa under four long-term scenarios. The scenarios reflect a focus on sustainability, economic growth, a retreat from globalisation (closest to the current trajectory) and lastly, a world at war. In the fourth scenario, competition between the West and its rivals, led by China, dominates all aspects of the global economy and politics, with violent outcomes.

Moderator: Ottilia Anna Maunganidze, Head, Special Projects, ISS Pretoria


Dr Jakkie Cilliers, Head, African Futures and Innovation, ISS Pretoria

Hannah Ryder, Founder and CEO, Development Reimagined, Beijing

Prof Jonathan Moyer, Director, Frederick S Pardee Center for International Futures, University of Denver


Jakkie Cilliers, Email: [email protected] (copy [email protected])


Development partners

This seminar is funded by Humanity United, the Swedish International Development Cooperation Agency and the Hanns Seidel Foundation. The ISS is also grateful for support from the members of the ISS Partnership Forum: the Hanns Seidel Foundation, the European Union, the Open Society Foundations and the governments of Denmark, Ireland, the Netherlands, Norway and Sweden.